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Iranian Roulette

Binyamin Rose

Iran’s nuclear development program didn’t begin in Vienna, and it won’t end with the negotiations in Vienna. There is a long road ahead, diplomatically, politically, and perhaps operationally before the last word will be heard, or the first shots fired.

Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Whether Iran remains ten years away from being able to produce a nuclear bomb, as the optimists contend, or two months away, as the pessimists fear, is still a subject of discussion among nuclear experts. Israel still retains its edge as the only Middle East power said to currently possess nuclear capability, but the emerging deal between Iran and the six nations led by America has effectively elevated Iran from the status of a rogue nation and the world’s prime sponsor of global terror to a major world power, and one with which Israel and the West will have to contend on multiple fronts for years to come. The terms of agreement hammered out during months of negotiations in Vienna will provide an international umbrella of protection for Iran to continue its nuclear development project, free up tens of billions of dollars to prop up its sanctions-damaged economy, and all the while fund its terrorist proxies in Yemen, Syria, and Lebanon — and likely beyond. “This is the most dangerous thing America has done since the end of the Cold War and it could be the most fateful mistake that America has made on foreign policy since it went into isolationism in the 1930s,” saysJonathanRynhold, director of the Argov Center for the Study of Israel and the Jewish People. Rynhold criticizedPresidentObama for abandoning the military option against Iran just as talks reached a critical stage and contends the proposed deal will eventually sour. He hopes that stage is only reached before Iran, and the rest of the Middle East, goes nuclear. “He [Obama] tends to think that any military strike will get out of control and lead to an all-out war with Iran that will have devastating consequences and therefore should be avoided if it is at all possible,” Rynhold said. “Israel’s view is that that’s less likely to happen, that it can be contained, and that even if it does spread, it’s much better than the alternative — proliferation of nuclear weapons in the Middle East.”

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